Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.253557 0.293935 0.340182 0.397400 0.466747 0.548650 0.653559
2025-08-17 0.190637 0.241618 0.306842 0.397833 0.523797 0.695552 0.953771
2025-08-24 0.153813 0.207502 0.281826 0.395134 0.568879 0.834750 1.292435
2025-08-31 0.128740 0.182048 0.260431 0.388562 0.602016 0.961867 1.659488
2025-09-07 0.114542 0.168720 0.252713 0.398896 0.661754 1.147641 2.207201
2025-09-14 0.100193 0.152368 0.236707 0.391081 0.686691 1.277420 2.705935
2025-09-21 0.090773 0.142198 0.228644 0.394671 0.732662 1.462738 3.427501
2025-09-28 0.082364 0.132372 0.219351 0.393657 0.768616 1.638862 4.233005
2025-10-05 0.077077 0.127094 0.217133 0.405600 0.835022 1.911171 5.503848
2025-10-12 0.072115 0.121683 0.213732 0.414254 0.896359 2.196586 7.054475
2025-10-19 0.067627 0.116538 0.210008 0.421357 0.956061 2.504789 8.986869
2025-10-26 0.064155 0.112858 0.208592 0.433256 1.031802 2.898707 11.731506
2025-11-02 0.060155 0.107795 0.203852 0.437049 1.088839 3.269889 14.918085
2025-11-09 0.056342 0.102696 0.198391 0.438214 1.139817 3.653829 18.833794
2025-11-16 0.052632 0.097405 0.191811 0.435327 1.178263 4.017158 23.344768
2025-11-23 0.049003 0.091905 0.184070 0.427968 1.200706 4.332972 28.244038
2025-11-30 0.047028 0.089667 0.183412 0.439599 1.291232 5.018725 38.263413
2025-12-07 0.043946 0.084754 0.175933 0.430810 1.307617 5.365951 46.112412
2025-12-14 0.041912 0.081931 0.173076 0.434848 1.373538 6.029093 60.493235
2025-12-21 0.039764 0.078654 0.168732 0.433707 1.419883 6.630276 77.223360
2025-12-28 0.038546 0.077353 0.169110 0.447147 1.531383 7.744593 110.471824
2026-01-04 0.037219 0.075677 0.168337 0.456894 1.632385 8.914775 156.502721
2026-01-11 0.035900 0.073895 0.167079 0.464895 1.730180 10.195449 222.729508